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How Much Of The Universe Can Humanity Ever See?

PBS Space Time·
6 min read

Based on PBS Space Time's video on YouTube. If you like this content, support the original creators by watching, liking and subscribing to their content.

TL;DR

The observable universe is limited by horizons created by cosmic expansion, not by telescope capability.

Briefing

Humanity’s ultimate view of the universe is capped not by telescope power, but by cosmic horizons shaped by expansion and dark energy. Light from farther and farther away can reach us only while the universe’s accelerating expansion still allows it to cross the boundaries set by the speed of light and the changing distance between galaxies. The practical limit today is the cosmic microwave background (CMB), but the deeper limit is the cosmological event horizon—beyond which no signal can ever arrive, no matter how long people wait.

At present, the CMB is treated as the edge of observable history because the universe was opaque earlier than about 300,000 years after the Big Bang, when hot hydrogen plasma cooled enough to form atoms and let light stream freely. Even though the CMB photons were emitted from a region that would later become the Milky Way’s neighborhood—about 40 million light years away in the early universe—the expansion of space stretched their journey to roughly 13.7 billion years, placing the CMB at an effective distance of about 46.5 billion light years in today’s “frozen expansion” sense. The key twist is that “how far” depends on how the expansion is accounted for: comoving coordinates track galaxies moving with the expansion, while physical distances shrink toward zero near the Big Bang in the right coordinate system.

A spacetime diagram clarifies the geometry. Light travels within a past light cone; events outside it can’t send signals to a given location at a given time. But the past light cone’s reach is not unlimited. In a universe with dark energy, the accelerating expansion eventually prevents more distant regions from ever entering our observable past. That acceleration introduces the Hubble horizon: a boundary where the recession speed of space equals the speed of light. Today it sits about 14.5 billion light years away, and galaxies beyond it can still be observed for a time because the Hubble horizon was expanding for the first several billion years after the Big Bang, allowing light to “creep” inward.

The longer-term cutoff comes from the cosmological event horizon, which shrinks over time. Initially larger—about 63 billion light years in comoving distance—it contracts to roughly 16 billion light years in radius now. In roughly 10 billion years (give or take), the cosmological event horizon will merge with the collapsing Hubble horizon. After that, no new events beyond that boundary can ever reach us, even though the universe won’t go dark.

Instead, the broadest possible panorama arrives when the last photons that can cross the Hubble horizon do so “just in time.” Humanity’s final particle horizon would then correspond to light from regions currently about 63 billion light years away—about half again the size of today’s view. But the wait comes with a cost: those photons will be increasingly redshifted as space keeps stretching, shifting the observable sky from visible light to infrared, then to radio wavelengths requiring enormous antennas. Eventually, the sky would effectively go dark—not because the universe ends, but because the remaining accessible light becomes too diluted and stretched to detect with any practical instrument. The only route to see more would be to physically move fast enough to escape into a different Hubble horizon, a topic reserved for a later episode.

Cornell Notes

The ultimate limit on what humanity can observe is set by cosmic horizons, not by telescope sensitivity. Light can reach us only if it stays within our past light cone, but dark energy makes the universe’s expansion accelerate, eventually preventing more distant regions from ever sending signals. The Hubble horizon marks where recession speed equals light speed; it was expanding early on, which allowed CMB photons to reach us. Over time, the cosmological event horizon shrinks and will merge with the Hubble horizon in about 10 billion years, fixing the final size of the observable region. The last accessible light will arrive increasingly redshifted—first infrared, later radio—so the sky will fade even though the universe continues.

Why is the CMB treated as a practical edge of what we can see, even though it was emitted from “nearby” in early-universe terms?

The CMB comes from about 300,000 years after the Big Bang, when the universe became transparent after cooling enough for atoms to form. Before that, the primordial plasma was opaque, blocking light. In early-universe geometry, the CMB photons were emitted from a region that would later become the Milky Way’s neighborhood—around 40 million light years away in that era. But the universe was much smaller then, so the photons had to travel for roughly 13.7 billion years as space expanded, placing the CMB at an effective distance of about 46.5 billion light years in today’s “frozen expansion” radius.

What does a spacetime diagram add beyond the idea that light has a finite speed?

A spacetime diagram shows that signals are constrained by the past light cone: only events inside or on that cone can send light to a chosen location at a chosen time. The boundaries of the cone appear at 45 degrees because light travels at the speed of light. In an expanding universe, the reach of that cone depends on how distances and times are measured; using comoving coordinates (which move with the expansion) reveals that the past light cone can encompass more comoving regions over time, but dark energy ultimately limits the physical amount of accessible universe.

How can we observe galaxies whose recession speeds exceeded light speed at the time their light was emitted?

Recession speed refers to the expansion of space, not motion through space. A photon emitted by a distant galaxy starts in a region where space is receding faster than light (the example uses 3c). The photon is carried with that expanding region initially, but because the photon moves toward the Milky Way, it escapes that particular patch of space. As it continues, it enters regions where recession speed is lower, eventually reaching the Milky Way’s Hubble horizon where recession speed equals 1c. The photon can then continue inward and reach us.

Why doesn’t the Hubble horizon permanently block all signals from beyond it?

For the first several billion years after the Big Bang, the Hubble horizon was expanding. During that period, the recession-speed-equals-light boundary moved outward, so light from more distant objects could enter the Hubble horizon and later travel to us. This is part of why the CMB—emitted very early—became observable. In the future, the accelerating expansion changes the behavior: the Hubble horizon eventually collapses, and signals from beyond the cosmological event horizon can no longer arrive.

What fixes the final observable universe, and what happens to the light after the cutoff?

The cosmological event horizon is the ultimate boundary: beyond it, no signal can ever be received, regardless of waiting time. It starts much larger (about 63 billion light years in comoving distance) and shrinks over time, reaching roughly 16 billion light years in radius now. Around 10 billion years from now (give or take), it merges with the collapsing Hubble horizon, locking in the final particle horizon. The last photons that can reach us will arrive increasingly redshifted—shifting from visible light to mostly infrared near the time of maximum panorama, and later stretching into radio wavelengths—so the sky would effectively go dark.

Review Questions

  1. What are the roles of the past light cone, the Hubble horizon, and the cosmological event horizon in limiting what can be observed?
  2. How does dark energy change the long-term behavior of the observable universe compared with a non-accelerating expansion?
  3. Why can recession speed exceed light speed without violating special relativity?

Key Points

  1. 1

    The observable universe is limited by horizons created by cosmic expansion, not by telescope capability.

  2. 2

    The CMB marks a practical observational edge because the early universe was opaque until about 300,000 years after the Big Bang.

  3. 3

    Comoving coordinates and an adjusted time/space scaling are needed to correctly track how the past light cone grows in an expanding universe.

  4. 4

    The Hubble horizon is defined by recession speed equaling the speed of light, and it enabled early signals (like the CMB) to enter our observable region.

  5. 5

    Dark energy causes the Hubble horizon to collapse over time, preventing new signals from ever reaching us from beyond the cosmological event horizon.

  6. 6

    In roughly 10 billion years (give or take), the cosmological event horizon will merge with the collapsing Hubble horizon, fixing the final size of the observable region at about 63 billion light years away (in today’s terms).

  7. 7

    Even after the maximum panorama, the remaining accessible light will be increasingly redshifted, pushing observations from visible light to infrared and eventually to radio wavelengths.

Highlights

The CMB’s “edge” distance of about 46.5 billion light years today comes from a much smaller early universe and a 13.7-billion-year journey stretched by expansion.
A past light cone sets the signal geometry: only events inside or on it can ever send light to a given location at a given time.
Galaxies can appear to recede faster than light at emission because recession is the expansion of space, not ordinary motion through space.
The cosmological event horizon shrinks and will merge with the Hubble horizon in about 10 billion years, ending the arrival of new information from beyond it.
The final view is not just farther—it’s increasingly redshifted, so the sky fades as light shifts toward infrared and then radio.

Topics

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