I'll Finish it This Week and Other Lies - Why PhD students lack productivity in time management
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A nine-month tracking study found participants completed only about 53% of planned weekly tasks on average.
Briefing
Weekly goal setting in academia often fails in predictable ways: researchers systematically underestimate how long tasks will take, complete only about half of their planned weekly assignments, and then carry unfinished work forward—creating a cycle of frustration rather than progress. A short study led by Kaylee Brower, an astrophysics PhD student at MIT, tracked a weekly goal group over nine months and found that expected finish times rarely matched actual completion times, especially for tasks that are hard to scope in advance.
Across 559 tracked tasks, 17 were still incomplete by the end of the nine-month period. On average, participants completed 53% of the weekly tasks they assigned themselves. The bigger mismatch was timing: tasks took 1.7 times longer than anticipated. When tasks were grouped by type—coding, writing, reading, administrative work, talk preparation, and problem sets—coding and writing consistently ran longest. Reading, email, and administrative items were comparatively easier to estimate because their inputs are more bounded (for example, a known-length paper or routine messages). Writing and coding, by contrast, can balloon when unknown problems surface: a “simple” coding task can drag for weeks, while something expected to be lengthy can finish quickly.
The study also tested whether time-estimation improves with career stage. The cohort included undergraduates, graduate students, and postdocs, but the sample size was too small to draw strong differences. Still, a pattern emerged: undergraduates finished tasks more on time than higher-level researchers, likely because undergraduate work is often tied to externally imposed deadlines and clearer time budgets. Postdocs were slightly better than graduate students, suggesting some improvement with experience, though not in a clean, linear way. Participants’ own estimation skills showed a similar non-monotonic trend: accuracy improved somewhat through the process, then dipped later.
Task categories shifted with seniority. Homework-like problem set work decreased as participants moved up the academic ladder, while writing and administrative tasks increased; coding stayed roughly constant. Another practical finding: tasks with deadlines were more likely to be completed on time, reinforcing the idea that time-based goals can outperform open-ended “do these tasks this week” lists.
The takeaway for PhD productivity is less about working harder and more about changing how work is planned. The study’s results align with a common failure mode—constantly pushing unfinished items into the next week—turning planning into a recurring record of missed targets. The creator of the productivity templates and the upcoming part two plan frames the next step as moving away from weekly task lists toward a system designed to handle uncertainty more realistically, drawing on David Allen’s Getting Things Done. In parallel, Notion templates are being developed to support time-blocked scheduling, project-based views, and routine checklists, with a “new week” button to reset planning without carrying forward the emotional weight of perpetual backlog.
Cornell Notes
A nine-month tracking study of a weekly goal group found that academic time estimates often miss reality. Out of 559 tasks, participants completed an average of 53% of what they planned, and tasks took 1.7× longer than expected. Coding and writing were the biggest time overruns, while reading and administrative work were easier to estimate because their scope is more bounded. Deadline-driven tasks were more likely to land on time, and open-ended weekly task lists tended to fail—especially when unfinished items were repeatedly carried forward. Career stage influenced patterns: undergraduates finished more on time, postdocs slightly better than graduate students, and task mix shifted toward more writing and administration at higher levels.
What were the study’s headline numbers about weekly planning accuracy?
Why did coding and writing run longer than reading or administrative tasks?
Did time-estimation improve as people moved up the academic ladder?
How did task types change across career levels?
What planning principle emerged as most reliable: task lists or deadlines?
How does the creator connect the study findings to a system change?
Review Questions
- Which task categories showed the largest underestimation problem, and what feature of those tasks makes them harder to time-budget?
- What do the study’s completion rate (53%) and duration multiplier (1.7×) suggest about weekly goal setting in research?
- How might deadline-based goals change behavior compared with assigning a fixed set of tasks for a week?
Key Points
- 1
A nine-month tracking study found participants completed only about 53% of planned weekly tasks on average.
- 2
Tasks took 1.7 times longer than expected, so planning errors were often timing errors, not just motivation failures.
- 3
Coding and writing were the most time-overrunning categories, while reading and administrative work were easier to estimate due to more bounded inputs.
- 4
Undergraduates finished tasks more on time than graduate students and postdocs, likely because undergraduate work has clearer deadlines and time budgets.
- 5
Deadline-driven goals were more reliable than open-ended weekly task lists.
- 6
Repeatedly carrying unfinished tasks into the next week can create a persistent backlog loop that undermines productivity.
- 7
Notion templates and a workflow shift toward Getting Things Done principles are positioned as the practical response to these planning mismatches.